Tuesday, November 20, 2012

"03B" - Now a LOW pressure system and alive.

"03B" - Now a LOW pressure system now and have generated fresh convective activity along its E,S-E,N-E quadrant.
It has crawled slightly towards W-S-W in past 18hrs.
11:30am, Latest satellite shot reveals fresh convective activity and it still maintains a circulation.
Latest location plot on Map.
IMD warning at 11am IST
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The well marked low pressure area over westcentral Bay of Bengal persists over the same region at 0830
hrs IST of today the 20
th
 November 2012. The system would move west-southwestwards towards south Andhra 
Pradesh and north Tamil Nadu coasts and weaken further during next 48 hours. 





Under the influence of this system, moderate rainfall would occur at many places with isolated heavy falls 
over south coastal Andhra Pradesh, north coastal Tamilnadu and Puducherry on 21
ST
 and over south coastal Andhra 
Pradesh, Rayalaseema, Puducherry and north Tamil Nadu on 22
nd
 November





Both NOGAPS & COLA model suggests that "03B" will make landfall along S.Andhra coast, Chennai and N.Tamilnadu coast during evening of 21-Nov as a LOW pressure system.




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