Tuesday, June 19, 2012

‘Talim’ forces monsoon into pause !

Tropical depression ‘Talim’ in South China Sea has intensified into a tropical storm (deep depression) this morning and seems to have a cast a spell on the Indian monsoon.
Rainfall amounts have dipped to single digits once again along the west coast, as is clear from the figures put out by India Meteorological Department.

And the northern limit of the monsoon has failed to advance beyond the alignment that precipitated the onset two days ago.
This alignment linked Veraval, Navsari, Akola, Brahmapuri, Kanker, Keonjhargarh, Midnapore, Burdwan, Malda and Baghdogra with Gangtok.
Latest forecasts indicate that ‘Talim’ might just graze the southeastern coast of China and enter into northwest Pacific on the trail of typhoon ‘Guchol.’
Meanwhile, ‘Guchol’ has already weakened into a nominal typhoon (cyclone) ahead of hitting central Japan later today.
‘Talim’ might go to retain its tropical storm status until the weekend without intensifying, leaving the door open for a resident circulation in the Bay of Bengal to hold on.

IMD expects this circulation to deepen as a low-pressure area over the next two days, and fuel monsoon’s journey into east India and the farming heartland.
The European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts sees the possibility of monsoon flows over the Arabian Sea resuming by the weekend.
The IMD assessed conditions as favourable for advance of monsoon into Gujarat, Chhattisgarh, and entire Maharashtra, Orissa, West Bengal, Sikkim and some parts of Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Bihar during next three days.

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