Tuesday, January 31, 2012

Dr Nils-Axel Mörner: Arctic environment by the middle of this Century

The UK Met Office and UK climate research unit - the University of East Anglia Climatic Research Unit (UEA-CRU) just a few days back warned that the sun was slipping into hibernation and would likely to stay that way till end of this century. The last time it happened in earth’s history, it resulted in a Little Ice Age wherein the climate was characterised by cold summers, bitter winters and a shortening of the season available for growing food!

And why should UK Met Office and CRU pronouncements raise eyebrows? Together they produce the HadCRUT global temperature dataset, mainly relied upon by the IPCC for their reports. Moreover, most of the historical global temperature dataset used by other leading climate research centres like NOAA and GISS depend on the CRU dataset as their base, the same targeted by hackers of the Climategate fame.
Consequently, their prediction of an impending Grand Solar Minima has fuelled interest in related topics like the Little Ice Age. This is a paper by Dr. Nils-Axel Mörner published in the journal Energy & Environment last year, republished by us.

Morner, perhaps the best known authority on global sea level rise warns: At around 2040-2050 we will be in a new major Solar Minimum. It is to be expected that we will then have a new “Little Ice Age” over the Arctic and NW Europe. The past Solar Minima were linked to a general speeding-up of the Earth’s rate of rotation. This affected the surface currents and southward penetration of Arctic water in the North Atlantic causing “Little Ice Ages” over northwestern Europe and the Arctic.

Dr. Nils-Axel Mörner, as head of Paleogeophysics & Geodynamics at Stockholm University, worked with sea level problems for 40 years in areas scattered all over the globe; published 546 scientific papers and 10 books on the subject. He was the former President of the INQUA Commission on Neotenotics (1981-89) and INQUA Commission on Sea Level Changes and Coastal Evolution (1999-2003.) He headed the INTAS Project on Geomagnetism and Climate (1997-2003). In 2000 he launched an international sea level research project in Maldives.

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