The monsoon has continued to maintain a surplus of three per cent over the weekend even as a fresh upper air cyclonic circulation has sprung up over northwest Bay of Bengal.
The system could develop as a low-pressure system, according to the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.
The preceding ‘low' was traced to over northwest Madhya Pradesh on Sunday evening, raining it across east-central and adjoining central India, apart from parts of the west coast
LIKELY WITHDRAWAL
Meanwhile, India Meteorological Department (IMD) said in an evening update that the analysis of current meteorological conditions indicates that withdrawal of monsoon is not likely to commence during the next five days.
The withdrawal normally begins extreme west Rajasthan and adjoining parts of northwest India from early September.
That this is won't happen during the first 15 days could have implications for the health of standing crops in parts of the country and also affect harvesting operations in others.
A weather warning valid for the next two days said that isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall would fall over west Madhya Pradesh on Monday and over south Rajasthan, Gujarat and Andaman and Nicobar Islands during on both Monday and Tuesday.
HEAVY RAINS
Isolated heavy rainfall has been forecast over Kerala and Lakshadweep on both days.
An extended outlook valid until Friday said that fairly widespread rainfall would occur over many parts of the country outside west Rajasthan.
This is an indication that the withdrawal process could start from west Rajasthan by that time.
During the 24 hours ending Sunday morning, widespread rainfall was reported from Madhya Pradesh, coastal Karnataka, Kerala, Lakshadweep and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
It was fairly widespread over Uttarakhand, east Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, east Gujarat, Gangetic West Bengal and Konkan and Goa.
Scattered rain fell over Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, west Uttar Pradesh, sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, the North-eastern States, Saurashtra, Kutch, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Orissa, Madhya Maharashtra, Telangana and Tamil Nadu
Again extreme rains over Rajisthan/Gujarat proves change in climate pattern over India. These place have become rain intense areas while southern India is becomeing drier.Doubt if monsoon ever withdraws from Rajisthan this month.
ReplyDeleteWhen will it withdraw from Bangalore?
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