This all predictions by our weatherman Rajesh Kapadia were on target. Thanks to our weather magician!!!
As usual Rajesthan and Gujrat have recevied excess torrential rains during August. Pattern of last few years is being repeated [excess over these regions and probably in few years deserts will dissappear- fertile dense forest will emerge]
Below prediction from Anand Agr University - panchang.
Anand Agricultural University’s monsoon calendar has predicted that Gujarat will get 24% excess rains. The statewill get around 988 mm of rain against average of 828 mm, claims the forecast. The calendar known for publishing rainfall predictions for every day of the season is published in Gujarati and is called the ‘Panchang’.
A unique aspect of this calendar is that its predictions are based not only on scientific meteorological data but also on astrological indicators such as the ‘movement’ of planets through the 27 constellations (nakshatras). Its words carry great weight with the state’s farmers who refer to it not only to know when it will rain but also for advice on the best agricultural practices for various crops.
Talking about the forecasts made in the monsoon calendar, Prof Vyas Pandey, head of department of Agricultural Meteorology, said that they had divided Gujarat into four zones for their predictions: North Gujarat, South Gujarat, Central Gujarat and Saurashtra. The predictions for a day are made after extensive study of the position of 27 nakshatras and the nine ‘grahas’ on that particular day, he said.
“Our analysis suggests that there will be around 124 mm of rainfall in the month of June which is not much. The situation will be similar in July, but in August and September, there will be excess rainfall,” Pandey said.
He said that, this year, they had also mentioned in the calendar the estimated rainfall for different zones of Gujarat. An analysis of the data on rainfall indicated that there will be 13% excess rain in central Gujarat, 42.8% more in Saurashtra, 24% excess rain in South Gujarat and 15% more than the average rainfall in North Gujarat, Pandey said.
On average, Gujarat would get 24% excess rain, he added. "We will start issuing instructions according to the calendar for farmers of different regions. Our suggestions will deal with preparation of land, the sowing pattern, seed crop, different crop diseases and how they can be prevented," Pandey said.
Whether it will rain on a particular day or not is indicated by the use of colour in the monsoon calendar. White colour, for instance, indicates 'no rain', yellow predicts little rain, green is for normal rain and the blue colour indicates heavy rain. The mere use of colour (of course, other than white) for a particular date indicates the possibility of rainfall on that day.
Further, the calendar also includes advice on agricultural matters such as use of pesticides, appropriate technology, and seeds and fertilizer for seasonal crops that farmers should use for best results.
Any positive result for south - Rayalseema acute water problem - heat and drought strikes - Natures mercy???
Thanks Pradeep. Entire weather community is greatful to you - for prompt weather rainfall statistics and that too in correct descending order of highs and lows!!!!!
Just curious - why have our scientists not analyzed NE monsoon behaviour in depths?
This all predictions by our weatherman Rajesh Kapadia were on target. Thanks to our weather magician!!!
ReplyDeleteAs usual Rajesthan and Gujrat have recevied excess torrential rains during August. Pattern of last few years is being repeated [excess over these regions and probably in few years deserts will dissappear- fertile dense forest will emerge]
Below prediction from Anand Agr University - panchang.
Anand Agricultural University’s monsoon calendar has predicted that Gujarat will get 24% excess rains. The statewill get around 988 mm of rain against average of 828 mm, claims the forecast.
The calendar known for publishing rainfall predictions for every day of the season is published in Gujarati and is called the ‘Panchang’.
A unique aspect of this calendar is that its predictions are based not only on scientific meteorological data but also on astrological indicators such as the ‘movement’ of planets through the 27 constellations (nakshatras). Its words carry great weight with the state’s farmers who refer to it not only to know when it will rain but also for advice on the best agricultural practices for various crops.
Talking about the forecasts made in the monsoon calendar, Prof Vyas Pandey, head of department of Agricultural Meteorology, said that they had divided Gujarat into four zones for their predictions: North Gujarat, South Gujarat, Central Gujarat and Saurashtra. The predictions for a day are made after extensive study of the position of 27 nakshatras and the nine ‘grahas’ on that particular day, he said.
“Our analysis suggests that there will be around 124 mm of rainfall in the month of June which is not much. The situation will be similar in July, but in August and September, there will be excess rainfall,” Pandey said.
He said that, this year, they had also mentioned in the calendar the estimated rainfall for different zones of Gujarat. An analysis of the data on rainfall indicated that there will be 13% excess rain in central Gujarat, 42.8% more in Saurashtra, 24% excess rain in South Gujarat and 15% more than the average rainfall in North Gujarat, Pandey said.
On average, Gujarat would get 24% excess rain, he added. "We will start issuing instructions according to the calendar for farmers of different regions. Our suggestions will deal with preparation of land, the sowing pattern, seed crop, different crop diseases and how they can be prevented," Pandey said.
Whether it will rain on a particular day or not is indicated by the use of colour in the monsoon calendar. White colour, for instance, indicates 'no rain', yellow predicts little rain, green is for normal rain and the blue colour indicates heavy rain. The mere use of colour (of course, other than white) for a particular date indicates the possibility of rainfall on that day.
Further, the calendar also includes advice on agricultural matters such as use of pesticides, appropriate technology, and seeds and fertilizer for seasonal crops that farmers should use for best results.
Any positive result for south - Rayalseema acute water problem - heat and drought strikes - Natures mercy???
thanks
add to above ....
ReplyDeleteIn this age of scientific weather analysis with complex mathemical simulations how true does astrolgical predictions hold???
Sset,
ReplyDeleteI have compiled the dam levels of Tamilnadu for you.
Its better than last year.
Thanks Pradeep. Entire weather community is greatful to you - for prompt weather rainfall statistics and that too in correct descending order of highs and lows!!!!!
ReplyDeleteJust curious - why have our scientists not analyzed NE monsoon behaviour in depths?