Tuesday, June 07, 2011

"98A" - Moving West and will strengthen in 24 hrs

Present position :: 18.3N , 70.9E
Wind :: 45 KmpH
Pressure :: 1004mb

COLA model predicts the system will linger around in that zone for next 48 hrs and strengthen slowly moving in N-N-W towards Pakistan coast skirting Gujarat coast as well on 11-Jun-2011.
IMD model also maintains more or less the same.
After 11-Jun the system is expected to again move WEST towards Oman on 12-Jun-2011.


This present may launch S-W monsoon over South Gujarat but Monsoon showers along S-W peninsula coast will be on lower side till 13/14-Jun-2011. It'll pick-up again from 15-Jun-2011.
When will Central Bay produce a circulation ? This is needed for next push / propelling of Monsoon into N. Bay and into East India.

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