03NOV 2010 / 1800 Z:-
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 95.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.0N 92.7E, APPROXIMATELY 790 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF HENNAI, INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION AND A 031054Z SSMI MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS IMPROVED LOW LEVEL CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ALTHOUGH THERE HAS BEEN MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (25 KNOTS), THE LLCC HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE WITHIN THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED BENEATH AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. DUE TO THE CONSOLIDATION OF THE LLCC, UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, AND HIGH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD.
· The wind shear is prominent along 10 Degree North Latitude.
· The pole ward divergence is also getting organized.
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