- Some analysts may prefer WIND analysis to locate SUB TROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE/TROUGH LINES etc. This will many a time help to guide to the onset / spread or existence / or withdrawal of wind regime. As a result it may be pointed out that... [1] SWM winds are active over atleast 15 degree parallel and the strength is felt upto 4 to 5 km aloft. Upper level Easterly Jet is strong [>30mps] near tropopause and above. [2] The traditional High pressure hovering over west and adjoining central India is just creeping up. [3] Even though western Pacific is active up to Indonesia [evidence 'MEGI' etc] Bay is NOT so active during SWM 2010. [4] LA NINA effect will bring cold current into western Pacific. with this 'roughly' one can estimate the arrival of NEM and its activity.
Tuesday, October 19, 2010
pessimistic about NEM 2010 rainfall
Category:
Articles,
North East Monsoon
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)