The southwest monsoon, which is nearly 10 days behind its normal schedule over the Gangetic plains of north India, is expected to strengthen with the formation of a low-pressure area in the Bay of Bengal. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) said in its update on Wednesday that the ‘low' might take shape by Thursday itself.According to Dr Akhilesh Gupta, leading operational forecaster and Advisor to the Department of Science and Technology, the ‘low' may not carry strength to drive itself deep inland.
After crossing land, it may hang over land for a while before weakening as a cyclonic circulation. Still, it would be able to generate some rain. It may move slowly inland and help increase rainfall over eastern parts of the peninsula such as Andhra Pradesh, adjoining Orissa, Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh.
From June 28 (Monday next), this situation may also help bring some rainfall over Bihar, Jharkhand, east Uttar Pradesh and parts of north Madhya Pradesh. With this rain, it is expected that monsoon may further advance into certain areas of east Uttar Pradesh around this date.
Forecast charts also hint at the possibility of monsoon easterlies making their way into west Uttar Pradesh and Delhi by July 2 but have low confidence in the eventuality.
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