Tuesday, April 27, 2010

What is "TXLAPS".?? and something about monsoon - 2010

TXLAPS (Tropical eXtended Area Prediction System)
(A joint effort between Northern Territory Regional Office and NMOC) TXLAPS is a version of LAPS customised to describe the tropical atmosphere. In particular an attempt is made by Australian Weather Bureau to capture areas of convection that are observable as cloud formations on satellite imagery and which can lead to
the development of tropical depressions. In addition to available conventional data, input to the analysis includes bogus moisture values derived from satellite cloud imagery. Tropical Cyclones are incorporated into the analysis using a bogus system operated by Darwin RSMC staff. The first guess field for this analysis is a forecast from GASP. TXLAPS currently operates over the domain 48oN to 45oS and 60oE to 143oW with a grid spacing of 0.375o.
Thanks: Australian Weather Bureau

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As SSET(one of our regular reader) asked the pictures depicts the wind pattern at specified level and the colors represents the speed in knots and the arrow head shows the direction of the flow.
However region specific data will be more useful and pronouncing.
It is too early and winds will be pseudo in nature. It has to be attested with other factors also. Any how it is pre monsoon period and the developments indicates that this year 2010 monsoon may be NORMAL.{But one has to be cautious in that also.)
Cross Equatorial Flow has not strengthened. ITCZ is below 5 Deg North and NOT pronounced in our region.

Posted by Mr. Anonymous

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