Thursday, December 10, 2009

Here's "96B" rain rate near Srilanka coast .. http://ping.fm/TAuUv
By Rakesh - December 10, 2009

2 comments:

  1. Anonymous6:29 PM

    (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.2N 84.2E,
    IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.5N 84.1E, APPROXIMATELY 254 NM EAST OF
    COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS 2
    DISTINCT COMMA-SHAPED AREAS OF SUSTAINED AND DEEPENING CONVECTION
    BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO AND ORGANIZE AROUND A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL
    CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 100425Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS WEAK WINDS AT
    THE CORE OF A DISTINCT CIRCULATION CENTER WITH STRONGER (15 TO 25
    KNOT) FLOW LOCATED APPROXIMATELY ONE DEGREE TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH
    OF THE LLCC. COLOMBO (VCBI) IS CURRENTLY REPORTING SEA LEVEL
    PRESSURE AT 1006 MB, WHICH REPRESENTS A 1 MB DECREASE FROM 24 HOURS
    AGO. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE OUT OF THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS. THE
    UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH
    LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND STRONG RADIAL, AND ENHANCED POLEWARD,
    OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20
    KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB.
    THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
    WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.
    (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
    2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
    (1) AT 100600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CLEO) WAS LOCATED NEAR
    13.4S 70.6E, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA,
    AND HAD TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
    HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS
    GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER
    DETAILS.
    (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
    3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED THE AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO
    FAIR.//
    WXTLIST: done

    ReplyDelete
  2. Anonymous6:29 PM

    (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.2N 84.2E,
    IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.5N 84.1E, APPROXIMATELY 254 NM EAST OF
    COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS 2
    DISTINCT COMMA-SHAPED AREAS OF SUSTAINED AND DEEPENING CONVECTION
    BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO AND ORGANIZE AROUND A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL
    CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 100425Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS WEAK WINDS AT
    THE CORE OF A DISTINCT CIRCULATION CENTER WITH STRONGER (15 TO 25
    KNOT) FLOW LOCATED APPROXIMATELY ONE DEGREE TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH
    OF THE LLCC. COLOMBO (VCBI) IS CURRENTLY REPORTING SEA LEVEL
    PRESSURE AT 1006 MB, WHICH REPRESENTS A 1 MB DECREASE FROM 24 HOURS
    AGO. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE OUT OF THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS. THE
    UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH
    LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND STRONG RADIAL, AND ENHANCED POLEWARD,
    OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20
    KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB.
    THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
    WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.
    (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
    2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
    (1) AT 100600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CLEO) WAS LOCATED NEAR
    13.4S 70.6E, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA,
    AND HAD TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
    HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS
    GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER
    DETAILS.
    (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
    3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED THE AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO
    FAIR.//
    WXTLIST: done

    ReplyDelete

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