As per models El Nino is supposed to bring vigorous northeast monsoon,but it actually it has brought very weak monsoon of only 20 days instead of 4 months?
I am very optimistic that the NEM will continue till mid of December. The bay below 5 Degree North right from Thai to TN coast has become active of late. The historical LOW PRESSURE AREA [LOPAR] which is (was) always seen in the Bay now shifted to south of Comrin and the cyclogensis area or LOPAR is in that stretch only. However such a formation is not NEW to us, and it had been reported during 1940 or so. {Chronological order may slightly differ}During such period southern Tamilnadu especially Thoothukudi & Tirunelveli districts will receive copious rainfall. You may see the names of villages in THOOTHUKUDI district and near by as'SATTANKULAM,URUMANKULAM,PEIYKULAM,PETTAIKULAM' etc. So this year we may expect NEM to rain at least until mid of Dec 2009 Moreover the remnants of NEM will follow in January 2010 too. Not to worry about ground water. However replenishing ground water with this short time rainfall {Oct-Dec] is disproportionate to its drastic drawls.
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ReplyDeleteAs per models El Nino is supposed to bring vigorous northeast monsoon,but it actually it has brought very weak monsoon of only 20 days instead of 4 months?
ReplyDeleteI am very optimistic that the NEM will continue till mid of December. The bay below 5 Degree North right from Thai to TN coast has become active of late. The historical LOW PRESSURE AREA [LOPAR] which is (was) always seen in the Bay now shifted to south of Comrin and the cyclogensis area or LOPAR is in that stretch only. However such a formation is not NEW to us, and it had been reported during 1940 or so. {Chronological order may slightly differ}During such period southern Tamilnadu especially Thoothukudi & Tirunelveli districts will receive copious rainfall. You may see the names of villages in THOOTHUKUDI district and near by as'SATTANKULAM,URUMANKULAM,PEIYKULAM,PETTAIKULAM' etc.
ReplyDeleteSo this year we may expect NEM to rain at least until mid of Dec 2009 Moreover the remnants of NEM will follow in January 2010 too.
Not to worry about ground water. However replenishing ground water with this short time rainfall {Oct-Dec] is disproportionate to its drastic drawls.