Anonymous has left a new comment on your post "We should get showers atleast till 10-Dec to suppo...":
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I am very optimistic that the NEM will continue till mid of December. The bay below 5 Degree North right from Thai to TN coast has become active of late. The historical LOW PRESSURE AREA [LOPAR] which is (was) always seen in the Bay now shifted to south of Comrin and the cyclogensis area or LOPAR is in that stretch only. However such a formation is not NEW to us, and it had been reported during 1940 or so. {Chronological order may slightly differ}During such period southern Tamilnadu especially Thoothukudi & Tirunelveli districts will receive copious rainfall. You may see the names of villages in THOOTHUKUDI district and near by as'SATTANKULAM,URUMANKULAM,PEIYKULAM,PETTAIKULAM' etc.
So this year we may expect NEM to rain at least until mid of Dec 2009 Moreover the remnants of NEM will follow in January 2010 too.
Not to worry about ground water. However replenishing ground water with this short time rainfall {Oct-Dec] is disproportionate to its drastic drawls
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satish
ReplyDeleteEL Nino is suppose to bring vigorous northeast monsoon, but we do not see this. Rain was absent in October(very high temperatures), it rained only 20 days for November month and we say northeast monsoon ends by December first week. Looks like weakest of all rains. Back to dog days for TamilNadu.
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