Saturday, October 26, 2013

Diwali Release another UAC

 [1] It is evident that there creeps an UAC near the mouth of Malacca Strait. [850 hPa wind]

[2] Sea surface wind indicates convergence near 17 Deg Parallel.

[3] Along and above 10 Deg North the SWly feeder brings rain

[4] North Chennai, south CAP will be free of "significant" rainfal
[5] The circulation is inland in Telengana AP


Hope the best for rains during Diwali for TN

Belgaum - 2:16pm, "today morning at 9.30 for one hour it rained .. now its cloudy"
"Yesterday evening 7:30pm got good heavy T shower"

2:30pm, Rain continue over N,N-E Andhra, fresh T cells popping over N,central,W Karnataka and Very active N Bay.. http://ow.ly/i/3xiPI 

#Chennai - 5:15pm, After a #hot and humid mid morning with hazy skies, now having a thin high cloud cover.

T Shower possible after 8pm.
From today till Monday evening, N,N-E,central-coast Tamilnadu, Chennai to get noon /  evening / midnight T showers.
1st easterlies of this N-E Monsoon season is expected to reach Tamilnadu coast on 1-Nov.
" Tamilnadu, #Chennai can expect a WET Diwali "

#Bangalore - Less rain forecast for city from today till 29-Oct.

Andhra circulation moved North and weakened.

#Kolkata - rainfall till 8:30am today, Alipur = 109.5mm and DumDum = 85.4mm

#Chennai - Rainfall till 8:30am today, Nungambakkam = 10.4mm, Airport = 1.8mm, Polichalur (IWM weather station) = 5.7mm

Today, the Andhra circulation is over N Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/3xhCT 
In next 24 to 36hrs, the circulation is expected to drift N-N-E and weaken even more over S Chatisgarh, S Odisha.. http://ow.ly/i/3xhEb 
In 36hrs a circulation is expected over S Bangladesh and a N-S trough to drop from system upto central Tamilnadu.. http://ow.ly/i/3xhG2 
Present Andhra circulation is expected to weaken and get merged with the trough from S Bangaldesh by Sunday evening.

As the Andhra circulation weakens and a N-S trough forms in 24hrs, HEAVY rain for most of S-E coast to persist for next 36hrs.
N-S trough is expected to form by Sunday and move East into Bay after 24hrs... the rain along S-E coast will go down from Monday evening.
Before evening of Sunday, scattered rain expected all along S-E coast from S Bengal, Odisha, Andhra coast to N,central Tamilnadu.
Due to S Bangladesh circulation, Heavy scattered rain expected over most of N-E States during next 2 days.

Friday, October 25, 2013

Heavy rain ahead for N,N-E,central Andhra, coastal Andhra, E Maharastra in 24hrs

Before noon tomorrow, HEAVY rain forecast for coastal, N,N-E Andhra, N-E Karnataka and into S-E,E Maharastra.
Before tomorrow midnight, HEAVY rain also for S,S-W,W Maharastra, N,N-E Karnataka, central Andhra, Odisha and central,S Chatisgarh.
Central,N,W Tamilnadu can get scattered moderate rain, while central,N-coast Tamilnadu can expect heavy rain.

#Bangalore - Less rain forecast for city from tonight till midnight of Saturday.
Tomorrow evening, T showers expected for Pune, Belgaum zones.
N,central Kerala can get some showers during next 24hrs.
#Chennai - 6:55pm, is getting ready for a moderate rain.
And more rain ahead for city before midnight of 26-Oct.

All the present forecast is only for next 24hrs (till tomorrow night) and based on the predicted movement of Andhra circulation.

Moderate rain over #Kolkata and #Chennai rain alert

#Kolkata - 6:20pm, "moderate rain for past 2 hrs"

#Chennai - 6:15pm, band of moderate showers closing in on city from W,S-W.
Now around 55km from city, this may intensify when nearing coast
3:30pm, Heavy rain over N,N-central,N-E Andhra, N,N-E,central Karnataka and into S chatisgarh, S,central Odisha.. http://ow.ly/i/3wET8 

Davangere - 1:14pm, "3 passing showers till now. Clouds sailing from west -northwest.
Seriously its raining a lot continuously."

#Chennai - 4pm, mini T showers seen over W,N-W from city at around 100 to 150km... Almost 100% chance of scattered rain after 6pm.

#Bangalore - 4:34pm, "Poured for about 20 minutes .. now coming to an end in CHIKKABETTAHALLI zone"

Circulation has moved North into N-central Andhra, where next ?

RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Bangalore 10.20am, Overcast sky with slight drizzle in the morning. sky pic http://t.co/94OsOPyMwe 

#Chennai - 3:20pm, Heavy cloud cover day again. Temperature now is 30.9 C.
And wind direction is from S-S-E.

HEAVY rain over Andhra till 8:30am today ::
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    Prathipadu (dist East Godavari) 26, Visakhapatnam Ap (dist Vishakhapatnam) 16, Tekkali (dist Srikakulam) , Rentachintala (dist Guntur) , Kalwakurthi and  Kollapur (both dist Mahbubnagar) 15 each, Avanigadda (dist Krishna) 14, Yerragondapalem (dist Prakasam)  and  Koderu (dist West Godavari) 13 each, Achampet and  Nagarkurnool (both dist Mahbubnagar) 12 each, Narsapuram (dist West Godavari), Kandukur (dist Prakasam), Kalingapatnam (dist Srikakulam), Gudivada (dist Krishna), Macharla (dist Guntur), Yellamanchili (dist Vishakhapatnam) and  Kaikalur (dist Krishna) 11 each, Mandasa (dist Srikakulam) and  Eluru (dist West Godavari) 10 each, Sathenapalli (dist Guntur), Cheepurupalli (dist Vizianagaram), Visakhapatnam (dist Vishakhapatnam), Devarkonda (dist Nalgonda) and  Ibrahimpatnam (dist Rangareddy) 9 each

Yesterday's S Andhra circulation has moved North and now over N-central Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/3wEqt 
Now, the GFS expects the system to track N-E and may pop over N-W Bay along Odisha coast on 27-Oct... http://ow.ly/i/3wEvJ 
But NAVGEM model says that the circulation will vanish over N Andhra, S-E Maharastra on 26/27-Oct.. Good possibility! http://ow.ly/i/3wEB6 

25 Oct 13 / 00Z RF in AP

IMD ARG REPORTED RAINFALL in AP: DATE25.10.2013 / TIME: 0530 hrs IST


SN STATION LAT LOG RF in mm
1 YERAKUNDALAPALEM 16.0 79.3 120.0
2 KALWAKURTHY 16.7 78.5 117.0
3 KOLLAAPUR 16.1 78.3 115.0
4 MARUTHERU 16.6 81.7 56.0

Thursday, October 24, 2013

Chennai - 10pm, a heavy electric shower is nearing N,N-W suburbs (Ponneri, Red hills zones) of city.