Monday, December 07, 2015

WD to affect N,NW India from 9-Dec


An upper-level WD trough is expected to reach N,central Pakistan and N,N-W India on night of 8-Dec.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0Y5M.jpg
This WD trough will induce a low-level circulation, trough over NW India (N,NW Rajasthan, S,SW Punjab) on 9-Dec .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0YbU.jpg

Tamilnadu coast to get more Heavy rain till 10-Dec



After a long time.. the upper,low-level moisture has dried up considerably below Chennai latitude .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0U1J.jpg
Yesterday's circulation over Comorin sea persists and expected to persist till 9-Dec... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0UeL.jpg

Less or NO rain forecast for #Chennai , Suburbs from Monday noon to Tuesday evening !
..but HEAVY rain ahead along central Tamilnadu coast from Point Calimere to Chidambaram on Monday, Tuesday.
Scattered Heavy T showers are expected to continue for S,S-central,W, south-W-ghats of Tamilnadu, W-ghats kerala for 3 days.

9-Dec - GFS expects present comorin sea circulation to drift West and pop a better organized one over S Arabian sea .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0UUu.jpg
Due to "expected" S Arabian sea circulation.. the easterlies along Tamilnadu coast will pick speed again due to Pull on 9-Dec.
This Pull effect can "again" cause moderate/heavy rain along central,N-coast Tamilnadu and even for #Chennai on 9,10-Dec !
Latest run of GFS expects DRY winter conditions without "Rain scare" for Tamilnadu coast, Chennai only after friday, 11-Dec.

For Tamilnadu, this is NOT the end of NE-monsoon.
GFS expects another rainy period from 21-Dec !! https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/f0W91.jpg

@Chilipili > for 7-Dec
Bangalore - A cloudy day with a possibility of light rain in afternoon.
Mangalore - A good chance of evening T shower 

Sunday, December 06, 2015

The system in the Southern Bay moves West next week and embeds in the trough i the Southern Arabian Sea.

A Western Disturbance (D-1) is seen approaching the Northern Pakistan regions around the 9th of December, and moves into Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh on the 9th and 10th, and over the Uttarakhand Hills on the 11th. Snow in middle reaches (Gulmarg and Pahalgam). Possible first snow of the season in Srinagar. Rains in Jammu region.


Medium showers likely in Pak Punjab on the 9th and in Indian Punjab on the 10th.

Drop in night temperatures in Pak punjab plains and Sindh regions of Pakistan from Wednesday night. Gujrat (Pakistan ) may drop to 5c and Karachi can again see below 14c.

Rainfall decreasing considerably in Tami Nadu and Southern Peninsula from Monday 7th.


Cold conditions increase in Plains of Northern Pakistan, Sindh and NW India plains and in Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and Maharastra from the 10th.


From www.vagaries.in

December 06, 2015 at 11:02PM


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December 06, 2015 at 10:55PM


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December 06, 2015 at 10:54PM


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December 06, 2015 at 06:35PM


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December 06, 2015 at 06:32PM


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December 06, 2015 at 06:28PM


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December 06, 2015 at 06:17PM


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