Showers again over S.Tamilnadu and S.Kerala

#Chennai - 3:13pm, Sunny and warm now with low cloud formation and movement from N-E.
Present upper level wind direction is from N-N-E.

Simaltaneous S-W #Monsoon withdrawal and N-E Monsoon onset happening ... http://ow.ly/pYlS3 

2:30pm, T Showers again over S Kerala, S coast Karnataka, S,central-coast, N-E Tamilnadu ... http://ow.ly/i/3tajv 

#Kolkata - 2:22pm, Heavy T shower over North DumDum zone !

RT @aash_tvm: Raining here at #Trivandrum (2:53pm)

RT @kannan2121: @weatherofindia Raining heavy at Trivandrum south and into kanyakumari district of Tamilnadu (3:31pm)

2:30pm, Rest of #India is having very less precipitation ... http://ow.ly/i/3tajv

Chennai - 12:30pm, passing drizzles from 10am and now sharp showers over Polichalur zone.

Simaltaneous withdrawal and onset

[1] SWM is still prevalent in lower latitude.[i.e below 21 Deg North].  The less strengthen SWM winds at upper level form a UAC near Srilanka. 

[2] This UAC is pumping easterlies in to TN region.

[3] This may lead to a formation of low in SE bay.

[4] This is expected to give copious rainfall down south TN.

[5] Two anticyclones along 22 or 21 Deg North  latitude one in the west end  and other in the far east end of India is creeping. up

[6] This may lead to simultaneous withdrawal of SWM and onset of NEM by 22 or 23 Oct 2013.

Heavy T showers in and around Nagercoil

RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Bangalore 3.40pm, Sunny hot n humid, formation of T. Clouds..sky pic http://t.co/BfTF4D5X2Y 

Nagercoil (S tip Tamilnadu) - PHOTOS of today's HEAVY T showers at around 3pm ... http://ow.ly/i/3sAS6    --   http://ow.ly/i/3sASt 

Showers to continue over S Tamilnadu and S,central Kerala.

S-W #Monsoon is withdrawing in a fast pace ... here's the Withdrawal line of Monsoon over #India ... http://ow.ly/i/3sx1o 

Remnant circulation of #Phailin persists in mid,low levels over East India ... less showers expected due to this ... http://ow.ly/i/3sx6N 

Today morning, the W.D trough was along Kashmir... and will move East in next 6hrs.
Along with the eastward movement of W.D trough, all remaining rain will be wiped out from E,central (even from N-E) India in next 3 days.

2:30pm, T showers seen over S,central Tamilnadu, S,N Kerala and along S coast Karnataka ... http://ow.ly/i/3sxj5 
RT @pvvn4u: Slight shower in Kannur, #Kerala and a cloudy weather. @weatherofindia 

Nagercoil - 3pm, HEAVY T showers for the past 30min and continues even now.
More heavy rain ahead for S,W Tamilnadu and over S,central W-ghats of Kerala during next 24hrs.

S Bay circulation persists and #Monsoon is near for Tamilnadu coast

RT @rajugana: Bangalore 10.30am, Clear blue skies, Sunny n hot.. Rain, Rain come again.. sky pic @ Varthur lake http://t.co/vYorhYCB0J 

#Chennai - 2:40pm, #HOT and Humid with low cloud formations and Deep blue skies (sign of new weather front moving in).
Wind is from N-E.
#Chennai - 2:30pm, Lots of mini showers seen ALL around city. 
Mini T-cells visible in E,N-E over Sea, sign of N-E #Monsoon.

Today as well the S Bay elongated circulation persists ... http://ow.ly/i/3swwF 
GFS, the S Bay circulation is expected to consolidate in next 24hrs and start moving towards Central Tamilnadu coast http://ow.ly/i/3swCA 

WRF model suggests, that the S Bay circulation to intensify slightly and track towards Central Andhra coast on Sunday http://ow.ly/i/3swPN 

Davangere - "a HOT day wind No wind"

NE monsoon is near for Tamilnadu coast ! When ? Sunday, 20-Oct ?

Today, the low,mid level circulation over S,S-W Bay persists ... presently an elongated one ... http://ow.ly/i/3rU4j 
The strong Anti-cyclone over S Rajasthan zone persists and will do so during next 3 days ... http://ow.ly/i/3rU4j

GFS suggests, present S Bay circulation is expected to consolidate and track W-N-W towards Central Tamilnadu in 2days http://ow.ly/i/3rUcl 

GFS models suggest a central Tamilnadu coast landfall as a Depression on Monday, 21-Oct.. http://ow.ly/i/3rUlz 
NCMRWF model suggests a near #Chennai landfall as Depression on Monday, 21-Oct ... http://ow.ly/i/3rUrX 

All together, N-E Monsoon is expected to start with a BanG over #Chennai and most of Tamilnadu coast on Sunday / Monday.
Due to this S Bay circulation, Heavy rain expected for W-Ghats of Kerala, W,N-W,S Tamilnadu during next 24hrs .. http://ow.ly/i/3rUBE 
From tomorrow, 18-Oct, scattered "Monsoon type" showers expected to push into land from Sea along #Chennai, N,central Tamilnadu coast.

If the present S Bay circulation materializes as a Depression by Saturday, then HEAVY rain ahead for Tamilnadu coast, #Chennai from Sunday !
HEAVY widespread rain expected to push into central,S-E,N coast Tamilnadu, #Chennai and S Andhra coast on 21-Oct.. http://ow.ly/i/3rVvy 

Rain expected for Kashmir for next 36hrs

Upper level W.D trough seen over N,N-W Pakistan, in next 12hrs, it'll start affecting Kashmir, Himachal and Punjab. http://ow.ly/i/3rTr5 
3pm, Satellite IR shows cloudiness over N Pakistan and into Kashmir ... http://ow.ly/i/3rT5F

The present W.D trough is expected to move away East in next 36hrs... expected to give some rain for Kashmir, N Punjab, N Himachal.

Signs of NE Monsoon over #Chennai !!

As of today, SW Monsoon is withdrawing in a hurry now, while N-E monsoon for Tamilnadu, S Andhra is getting into shape !

#Chennai - 3:40pm, Humid and warm so far with some zones getting strong drizzles around 10am to 12pm.
#Chennai - 3:40pm, now the upper and lower level winds are from N-E. This shift is due to low,mid level circulation present over S,S-W Bay.
#Chennai - mid morning the conditions are "like" N-E Monsoon. 
Easterlies has not picked strength, so NO  monsoon showers from Sea so far.

3pm, S,S-W Bay, Srilanka is very active due to an elongated low,mid level circulation present over S,S-W Bay... http://ow.ly/i/3rT5F 
3pm, Rain seen over S, N Tamilnadu, S-coast Andhra and over S Kerala ... http://ow.ly/i/3rT5F