Update on S-E Bay Depression / Low ... Cyclone "JAL" on the making ??

Position :: 8.6N , 91.3E
Wind :: 55 KMPH
Pressure :: 1000 mb

JTWC
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FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.2N 94.0E TO 8.8N 87.1E WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.  AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY IS-
SUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.  WINDS
IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT
031200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.0N
92.7E.  THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 
95.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.0N 92.7E, APPROXIMATELY 790 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY 
SHOWS INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION AND A 031054Z SSMI MICROWAVE IMAGE 
DEPICTS IMPROVED LOW LEVEL CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A LOW 
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ALTHOUGH, THERE HAS BEEN MODERATE 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (25 KNOTS), THE LLCC HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE 
WITHIN THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED BENEATH AN AREA OF 
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD RADIAL 
OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. 
DUE TO THE CONSOLIDATION OF THE LLCC, UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, AND 
HIGH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF 
A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.

JTWC tracking

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