Friday, November 05, 2010

05112010-[deepavalai] JAL watch


NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):

A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:

(1) AT 041800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B (FIVE / [JAL]) WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 88.9E, APPROXIMATELY 565 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS.

1) THE CLOUD TOP TEMEPERATURE NEAR THE CONVERGENT ZONE IS [-]80O C i.e CONVECTIVE CLOUD OF HEIGHT UPTO 16.0KM.

2) THE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRONOUNCED BOTH ON THE NORTHERN & SOUTHERN SIDES OF THE SYSTEM.THE UPPER LEVEL PRESSURE RIDGE PASSES CLOSER TO 13 DEGREE NORTH. [CHENNAI LATITUDE]

3) WIND CONVERGENT IS ALSO {relatively} PROMINENT ALONG AND ON 10O N AND significantly PRONOUNCED IN LOWER LATITUDES.

4) THERE IS WIND CONVERGENCE IN GULF OF MANNAR

5) THIS IS GOING TO BE A SEVERE ONE.

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