Sunday, November 30, 2008

After "Nisha" - what next??

Chennai, today received some drizzles overnite.
Clear, bright and sunny morning!
Now (1:07 PM) some patches of low cloud formation can be seen, not threatening to rain.
The moisture left behind by "Nisha" and favorable wind direction (east-north-east), might trigger some thundershowers for Interior Tamilnadu.
But chennai will remain mostly clear & sunny, a possibility of some drizzles OR sharp showers late evening.
Here is the latest satellite pic...

And here is the latest numeric model for the NEXT cyclone (if any..?!)
Both the models suggest there is a Depression formation around 4-Dec-08.

3 comments:

  1. Hi,

    Yes looks like another Cyclone looking at the latest GFS model.But i wonder if the picture shown in the GFS model for Dec 5th ( 120 Hrs ) is a Cyclone or a Super Cyclone.

    http://www.weatherzone.com.au/models/index.jsp?lt=wzireg&lc=asia&mt=gfs&mc=mslp&mso=0&mh=120&focus=mh

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  2. Chandramouli

    i have dig some more cyclones which were formed in december and moving towards Bangladesh

    1990
    http://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc/atcr/1990atcr/pdf/nio/04b.pdf

    1981
    http://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc/atcr/1981atcr/pdf/nio/31-81.pdf

    1973
    http://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc/atcr/1973atcr/pdf/nio/41-73.pdf

    U are right Chandramouli..
    Approx in every 10 years a cyclone in December moves towards Bangladesh last being in 1990

    i have been tracking cyclones from my Hindu Pages from 1995 and i have not seen one go northwards in december

    it seems our predicted future cyclone will not move up towards Bangladesh or even Orissa..it is coming towards Tamilnadu or South Andhra

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