tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12964465.post5138034706074526407..comments2024-01-08T13:46:50.941+05:30Comments on Indian Weather Man (IWM): NEM Rainfall toppers (01.10.2011 to 07.11.2011)Rakeshhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10850474182381122519noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12964465.post-84602902814241111782011-11-09T12:15:35.884+05:302011-11-09T12:15:35.884+05:30sset: I think we were expecting a weakish phase ar...sset: I think we were expecting a weakish phase around this time...meaning nothing meaningfull like more than 100 mms/day. Had put up in vagaries about the MJO phase also. Next week may continue to be weak..shall discuss in vagaries abt NEM..Rajeshhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08511057956916968156noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12964465.post-25520753747481438202011-11-07T22:01:13.057+05:302011-11-07T22:01:13.057+05:30As usual thanks to our Statistics man - "Prad...As usual thanks to our Statistics man - "Pradeep" for these prompt metrics - good information to everyone.<br /><br />Some observations for NEM 2011<br /><br />1. NEM started from 20th october and not from 01 october. So in effect figures can be considered for 15-20days rain.<br /><br />2. NEM low pressures never brought any depressions or cyclones over south east India (TN/ Rayalseema) instead low pressure (10-15 degree latitude) drifted west and then NW towards Oman - AS1 and AS2. This may have resulted in much less rain compared to anticipated earlier over TN.<br /><br />3. Current NEM we do not see much coverage over entire TN/South Andra/South Karnataka except spots with moderate to good rains.In fact absence of depressions over TN - meant no rain exceeding 100mm in say 24hours.<br /><br />4. Now we are in dry phase for NEM - when is this likely to revive? Will Cauvery water tension ease between Karnataka/TN?<br /><br />5. As predictions are for excess NEM what will be estimation? We have 30days more left for NEM before winter sets in.<br /><br />Thanksssethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06630570720915417629noreply@blogger.com